Any conflict after Soleimani’s martyrdom will be a nightmare for the Arab Gulf states

17
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Any conflict after Soleimani’s martyrdom will be a nightmare for the Arab Gulf states

From
the Saudi government statement and the statements of Adel al-Jubeir and other
Arab officials in Kuwait and Abu Dhabi about Soleimani's death, It is clear
that the Arabs are taking a cautious approach. They have insisted on restraint
on both sides and stressed the importance of a ceasefire to take themselves
away from any danger. These positions show that the authorities in Riyadh and
Abu Dhabi do not want to enter into a conflict with Iran because it’s harmful
to their political, security and economic interests. Riyadh and Abu Dhabi,
especially after the explosion of tankers in the Gulf and the explosion of
Saudi Aramco facility by Yemeni missiles, have realized their weakness and
should not be very optimistic about US administration and Trump’s approach
towards Iran, because Trump's goal is to force Iran to sit at the negotiating
table
.

The
Saudis are happy with the assassination of Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis,
but in secret, if this event turns into strengthening the Popular Mobilization
Forces and the resistance movement in the region in general, this Saudi
pleasure cannot continue, which could lead to dragging Saudi Arabia into
unintentionally regional conflicts
.

But
what is the impact of this massive crime
From the Saudi government statement and the statements of Adel al-Jubeir and other Arab officials in Kuwait and Abu Dhabi about Soleimani's death, It is clear that the Arabs are taking a cautious approach. They have insisted on restraint on both sides and stressed the importance of a ceasefire to take themselves away from any danger. These positions show that the authorities in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi do not want to enter into a conflict with Iran because it’s harmful to their political, security and economic interests. Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, especially after the explosion of tankers in the Gulf and the explosion of Saudi Aramco facility by Yemeni missiles, have realized their weakness and should not be very optimistic about US administration and Trump’s approach towards Iran, because Trump's goal is to force Iran to sit at the negotiating table.


The Saudis are happy with the assassination of Soleimani and Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis, but in secret, if this event turns into strengthening the Popular Mobilization Forces and the resistance movement in the region in general, this Saudi pleasure cannot continue, which could lead to dragging Saudi Arabia into unintentionally regional conflicts.

But what is the impact of this massive crime against Soleimani and al-Muhandis on relations between Iran and the Gulf states? Of course, if the assassination lead to a future conflict between Iran and the United States, the Persian Gulf region would be more vulnerable to loss due to the location of the American bases, as well as the energy facilities and the geographical location of Washington's allies, and this would be a nightmare for the sheikhs of the Gulf states due to the economic instability, which is related to the foreign investment.

It is natural that the Arabs do not welcome such an assassination and try to manage the critical situation by calling on the parties to use restraint. But if the arena is ready for a serious conflict, the Gulf states will not have sufficient capacity to be neutral in this regard. Therefore, the most rational strategy for the Gulf states is to follow

the Qatari approach, which has good relations with Iran and at the same time hosts the US Al Udeid Air Baseagainst Soleimani and al-Muhandis on
relations between Iran and the Gulf states? Of course, if the assassination
lead to a future conflict between Iran and the United States, the Persian Gulf
region would be more vulnerable to loss due to the location of the American
bases, as well as the energy facilities and the geographical location of
Washington's allies, and this would be a nightmare for the sheikhs of the Gulf
states due to the economic instability, which is related to the foreign
investment
.







It is natural that the Arabs do not welcome such an
assassination and try to manage the critical situation by calling on the
parties to use restraint. But if the arena is ready for a serious conflict, the
Gulf states will not have sufficient capacity to be neutral in this regard.
Therefore, the most rational strategy for the Gulf states is to follow

the Qatari approach,
which has good relations with Iran and at the same time hosts the US Al Udeid
Air Base

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