What political dynamics in Turkey will determine the impending presidential and general elections?

What are the most pressing issues currently confronting Turkish voters? In this regard, five main arguments may be presented:

1. The
rapid rise of Erdoğan’s opposition party in recent polls indicates that
Turks head into the elections with a pessimistic outlook on the future
of their nation.

2. Many
Turks blame the country's economic downturn on the ruling AKP, the
Justice and Development Party. Nonetheless, there are no guarantees that
this situation will lead to a decisive victory for Erdoğan’s opponents,
as opposition parties have no immediate remedies for the country's
economic troubles, and more voters are beginning to express doubts about
the opposition's capacity to resolve the present financial crisis.

3.
Although the majority of Turks back anti-terror measures and the
country's cross-border operations in Syria and northern Iraq, these
policies have little sway over Turkish voters. Yet, this aspect of
Erdoğan’s foreign policy is still a barometer of the current
administration's regional achievements.

4.
A recent nationwide poll revealed that Turkey's political parties would
require a pro-Kurdish party's backing to secure a simple majority in
parliament. The Republican People's Party (CHP), the AKP's primary
opposition, is pinning its hopes on winning over the Kurdish political
groups. By forging an alliance with the mainly Kurdish People's
Democratic Party (HDP), Kılıçdaroğlus, the head of the CHP, is vying for
the support of the Kurds. Likewise, the ruling party is actively
courting the Kurdish vote. Despite objections, Kılıçdaroğlus has opted
to recognise the HDP and has pledged to release HDP leader Selahattin
Demirtaş and Kurdistan Workers' Party leader Abdullah Öcalan from jail,
who are both imprisoned on terrorism charges.

5.
Through the 20th century, Turkey was seen as a bastion of secularism
modelled after the West in the heart of the Islamic Middle East. While
nationalism has always been a significant social factor in Turkey,
political Islam has emerged as a driving social force in recent years.
While Erdoğan's main opponent, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, would appeal to
Kurdish votes in the upcoming elections, Erdoğan will employ the two
pillars of Turkish modern ideology, political Islam and pan-Turkism, to
strengthen his bond with traditional voters.